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Keywords

Turkish Lira
Economic Stability
Inflation

Abstract

Fluctuations in the currency price have a real impact on various economic areas, the most important of which is the volume of imports and exports between countries. The trade relationship between Turkey and Iraq is considered one of the cases that illustrate this influence, due to geographical considerations between the two countries, and this is what created close trade and economic relations between them. The value of international trade is usually determined by the national currency of each country, and if the currency price is subjected to fluctuations for various reasons, the cost of imports and exports changes, and this affects the volume and value of trade between the two countries. The study aimed to demonstrate the impact of fluctuations in the price of the Turkish currency on the volume of Iraqi imports. The inductive approach and standard models were used to reach the goal of the study. Several conclusions were reached, including The results of the cointegration limits test at the 1%, 5%, and 10% significance levels showed the existence of a significant co-integration relationship between the study variables, and the results of the standard and statistical tests reflected the presence of a strong relationship between the independent variables (the price of the Turkish currency Against the US dollar, the inflation rate in Turkey, security and economic instability in Turkey) and the dependent variable (the volume of Iraqi imports from Turkey). Several proposals were also presented, the most important of which were: maintaining stable economic relations between Iraq with neighboring countries and its trading partners, and not having this relationship fluctuate between them due to global and internal crises.
https://doi.org/10.33899/tanra.2024.184596
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